Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 6.322760 7.370769 8.504144 9.816742 11.290680 12.890298 14.753103
2026-02-08 4.701021 6.047351 7.618282 9.570575 11.914500 14.620342 17.961203
2026-02-15 3.684009 5.127612 6.915795 9.261255 12.221017 15.794514 20.393799
2026-02-22 3.116878 4.637160 6.616551 9.329538 12.891966 17.346920 23.267192
2026-03-01 2.673545 4.227892 6.344945 9.362089 13.463670 18.749940 25.968029
2026-03-08 2.334726 3.907228 6.139416 9.434562 14.054073 20.167244 28.712643
2026-03-15 2.038871 3.603749 5.914500 9.440204 14.525801 21.420357 31.264995
2026-03-22 1.857345 3.447330 5.878584 9.696615 15.340703 23.151564 34.506474
2026-03-29 1.687909 3.285864 5.813147 9.892549 16.064129 24.770706 37.639776
2026-04-05 1.509727 3.085259 5.663320 9.940079 16.559252 26.073955 40.365493
2026-04-12 1.289503 2.781428 5.315795 9.646747 16.515571 26.587800 41.975551
2026-04-19 1.113014 2.531284 5.029590 9.421854 16.550657 27.200932 43.730250
2026-04-26 0.952577 2.290398 4.737591 9.167024 16.526376 27.728954 45.390719
2026-05-03 0.817191 2.078282 4.473483 8.934566 16.516954 28.269065 47.077514
2026-05-10 0.692836 1.868598 4.190238 8.642229 16.384604 28.602851 48.450797
2026-05-17 0.626929 1.774742 4.114161 8.706757 16.840842 29.861341 51.261428
2026-05-24 0.564721 1.679318 4.024629 8.737518 17.236270 31.031454 53.964515
2026-05-31 0.513085 1.600399 3.959403 8.806013 17.695209 32.313383 56.873329
2026-06-07 0.461171 1.512095 3.865467 8.811345 18.039794 33.416407 59.526377
2026-06-14 0.434475 1.483816 3.894550 9.053725 18.812406 35.241912 63.373529
2026-06-21 0.405343 1.444382 3.895370 9.238981 19.487666 36.923898 67.031268
2026-06-28 0.368544 1.377565 3.828897 9.283927 19.906518 38.186479 70.039963
2026-07-05 0.314433 1.250563 3.612379 9.006581 19.713306 38.402742 71.341042